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Russia-Ukraine Conflict: A Fragile War & The Overview

Corona may not be over, but it has been pushed into the background by the Russian war of aggression in Ukraine. Public attention these days is less about the Corona protests and more about the solidarity rallies and peace demos, the pictures from Mariupol and Kiev, the stories of the refugees and the helpers at the train stations.

This has pretty much exactly the consequence that experts have been predicting for a while: they are losing their core topic. But because what unites this rather heterogeneous group was never really content, but always anger at the state and a fundamental distrust in established institutions, they are now looking for a new topic, and again the one that concerns everyone - Russia.

On the one hand, propaganda media like RT have long been an important supposed source of information for conspiracy believers, on the other hand, their own internal logic has of course also had an effect for a long time: if the West, its governments, experts and media, lie constantly, as lateral thinkers claim again and again, then it would be pretty daring to agree to this West now of all times.  

Russia Asked China For Military Equipment

That should come in handy for one person: Vladimir Putin. Approval for his war is fragile even within Russia. If he wants to win the information war, he can make good use of information tech from abroad. Putin now has complete control of the media in Russia, and he can still use his propaganda to influence interpretation abroad, even if the EU has made it more difficult for him by shutting down various propaganda media.

Putin is likely to unleash his armies of trolls again, as he did after the 2014 occupation of Crimea, flooding social media with disinformation and propaganda. It's even more likely that he already is. It is quite possible that one or the other will not participate. But those who stay will continue to radicalism. And that doesn't just mean that the movement is likely to remain active for a long time to come. But probably also that it could become even more dangerous. Little do these people fear more than their insignificance. Often not even violence.

Russia is planning an offensive

Russian troops are regrouping, according to Ukrainian general staff. The government in Kyiv appeals to NATO. According to the Ukrainian General Staff, Russian troops are preparing several offensives. To do this, the units tried to establish themselves at points they had previously occupied, to secure supplies and to regroup, according to a report published on Facebook. 

Russia Attacks On Military Base

As soon as this has happened, new attacks are expected, for example on the cities of Kharkiv in the east, Sumy in the north-east or the Kiev suburb of Brovari. In the Luhansk region in the east of the country, Russia is primarily concentrating on advancing in the direction of Sievjerodonetsk. The government in Moscow announced on Sunday that pro-Russian separatist fighters had blocked the eastern and southern parts of the city, which has a population of 100,000. In the towns of Topolske and Schpakivka in the Kharkiv region, the enemy suffered casualties and retreated. The information cannot be independently verified.

In view of the recent Russian airstrikes in western Ukraine, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reiterated his call for NATO to establish a no-fly zone. "If you don't seal off our skies, it's only a matter of time before Russian missiles fall on your territory, on NATO territory and on the homes of NATO citizens," Zelenskyy said in a video address.

An Overview || The Night & Morning

Chechen Republic leader Ramzan Kadyrov claims to be in Ukraine. About a video shared on his Telegram channel, he writes that it was recorded in Hostomel, a town north-west of Kiev with a nearby airfield that has been contested since the beginning of the war. In the video, which cannot be verified, several men in military fatigues, armed with weapons, and Kadyrov can be seen studying a defaced plan on a table.

The events of the past few hours in brief:

The Crimean peninsula, annexed by Russia, and the Donbass in eastern Ukraine are now said to be connected by a land corridor. This is what the Vice Prime Minister of the Crimean government Georgy Muradov told the Russian state agency Ria Novosti.

Russia has asked for military support from China, according to the US government. The government in Moscow therefore wanted the delivery of military equipment, as reported by several US media, citing government officials.

According to information from Kiev, seven hospitals in Ukraine have been irreparably destroyed since the beginning of the war. The clinics in the affected cities would have to be completely rebuilt after the Russian shelling, said Health Minister Viktor Ljaschko.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba has criticized Germany's longstanding policy on Russia: "I'm sorry to say that you actually helped to build Russia's current power," he said on the ARD program Anne Will.

In the past, the SPD and the federal government have overestimated the situation with regard to Russia . "We had misjudgements there," says SPD co-leader Lars Klingbeil.

After Facebook and Twitter, Instagram is now also blocked in Russia. This was confirmed by the NetBlocks organization and Instagram users in Russia. The step had been announced for midnight.

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